Operational Requirements

The primary application of this erosion prediction technology will be by field personnel who will be using the procedure as a tool to assist land managers in making soil conservation decisions. Major factors important to these users are: (a) computational time, (b) ease of use, (c) applicability to the broad range of conditions typically encountered in field programs, (d) robustness, (e) validity, and (f) ease of explanation to client.


Computational Time

Developers of the procedure are to strive for computational efficiency and to have the procedure operate as quickly as possible. The procedure is to compute the frequency distribution of annual soil loss values for the profile version at the rate of one management practice per minute and one practice per two minutes for the watershed version running a single overland flow profile and a single concentrated flow channel. The rate can be proportionally slower for more complex systems. Also, not more than 30 minutes per farm of actual user time (computer time can be longer) is to be required in the office to prepare and assemble needed information before going to the field. Once in the field, no more time can be used to collect and assemble input information than would be required for the USLE when the profile version is used. The criteria to be used by the developers for judging the acceptability of an internal simplification in the procedure are: (a) does the planning or assessment decision change -- if not, use the procedure that requires the least resources -- and do computed values for the primary output variable change more than 10 percent -- if they do, is the change of consequence?

Ease of Use

The procedure shall be easy to use, especially for the infrequent user, by accepting simple inputs that are commonly available and understood by personnel in the local field office. It should require little structured training or support. Also, it shall be flexible and accept inputs on increasing detailed and complex levels if the user determines that more detail is needed or that default values need changing. The user shall not have to directly manipulate any mathematical equations to use the procedure; all mathematical manipulations shall be done by a computer program. The procedure is to be designed so that a maximum amount of computations can be made once-and-for-all and stored for repeated use. Likewise, the procedure shall be constructed so that data files specific to a given local area (a county or subcounty unit) can be prepared and stored locally so that the field office user only has to search and retrieve minimal data with each application. In so far as possible, the procedure shall use data and data files used in other NRCS, BLM, and FS applications, and it should be compatible with Geographic Information Systems (GIS). The output should display in an easily understood form the consequence of alternative management options.

Applicable to Broad Range of Conditions

The procedure, within the limits defined by this document, must apply to all sheet-rill erosion problems that local field office personnel encounter. In particular, it must apply to all conditions covered by the USLE plus additional ones. Similarly, this requirement also applies to all concentrated flow erosion situations, but the procedure is not for hydraulic design of waterways.

Robustness

The procedure must tolerate out-of-range input data and combinations of inputs that might cause problems. The procedure should use asymptotic, "well behaved" functions to avoid extremely incorrect values and the procedure unexpectedly "blowing up." See the Appendix 7 for an example of a function that adds robustness to model. It must tolerate applications for which it is not intended. However, the procedure must alert the user to these excesses, alert for loss of accuracy when inputs are over simplified such as for slope shape, and check for incorrect data entries. The procedure should alert the user to the possibility of obtaining "additional" information with more detailed inputs.

Validity

The procedure must be sufficiently accurate to lead to the planning and assessment decision that would be made in the large majority of cases when full information is available. However, more than accuracy is to be considered in establishing the validity of the procedure. The procedure is to be validated, and the validation process and its results are to be documented. The prediction procedure is expected to be composed of a number of modules. Each major module is to be individually validated, and the procedure is to be validated as a package.

Validation Criteria

Validation is to be based on the procedure meeting all of the following criteria. (a) The model is valid if it serves its intended purpose as defined by these specific User Requirements. (b) The model is based on scientific principles and represents a reasonable expression of current scientific understanding of erosion processes that can be used in an applied procedure. (c) The procedure gives expected responses that appear reasonable. For example, the output varies qualitatively with ground cover (or any variable or combination of variables) in the way that is commonly accepted by erosion experts. (d) The model gives results that are more useful for agency program objectives than those given by the USLE and applies to situations not appropriate for the USLE. These situations include deposition in furrows, especially as influenced by plant residue in the furrows; nonuniform distribution of cover between ridges and furrows; the acceleration of rill erosion above a critical steepness; the variation in slope length, slope steepness, ground cover, and contouring relationships with climate, soil, topography, and land use; erosion by surface irrigation; deposition on concave slopes; and concentrated flow erosion. (e) The model provides a reasonable representation of data covering the range of conditions of the "key" situations described above. (f) Judgements on the "goodness of fit" of the estimates from the procedure to observed data are to be based on the data sets as a whole and not on a few specific and isolated data sets. Quantitative measures of the "goodness of fits" will be calculated and presented, but a specific quantitative level of accuracy figure is not being required because of the great variation in the experimental data that will be used in validation. However, the results are to be at least as good with respect to observed data and known relationships as those from the USLE. (g) The model is able to "stand up" in public hearings of management plans and assessments.

Ease of Explanation

The procedure is to be based on a set of principles and concepts that can be explained by local field personnel to the client. The procedure is to be developed so that the user can easily demonstrate how the major factors of climate, soil, topography, and land use affect erosion.

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